The
WTI Crude Oil market gapped higher at the open on Monday, and then
slammed into the previous uptrend line. However, the fact that we closed
towards the top of the candle is a very strong sign, so I think it’s
going to be difficult to continue to go higher. I also recognize that
the $50 level above will be massively resistive. If I can find some type
of exhaustive candle in this area, it would make a lot of sense that
the market would pull back and reach towards the gap that previously
formed. Given enough time, I believe that the sellers returned because
quite frankly the oversupply continues to weigh upon the market. When we
give the market a push to the downside, I suspect that we will not only
fill the gap, but probably reach towards the $43 level. Although the
market looks very likely to see buyers in the short-term, I just can’t
bring myself to start buying a market that has so many things working
against the longer term.
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